Heart of Midlothian
3 of 12 · 13 points from 7 matches · Elo 1636
Season outlook
| Projected points | 58.8 |
| Range (90% nominal, 88% measured) | 45–74 |
| Title | 0.6% |
| Top six | 88.8% |
| Relegation | 0.2% |
Where they finish
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 43 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Rule after position 6 is the split. Blank cells are below 0.5%.
Elo rating over time
Renormalised to a league mean of 1500 each season, so a rating is meaningful only relative to the dotted line — not as an absolute scale.
Attacking and defensive trend
Per match, over the 7 played this season.
| Measure | Per match |
|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded | 1.14 |
| Shots | 16.3 |
| Shots on target | 5.3 |
| Goals per shot | 12.3% |
What the model has changed its mind about
Club strengths are fitted on prior seasons, so this is the whole of what the model has learned from this one. Since the season started it now expects Heart of Midlothian to score 10.0% more goals than it did in August, and to concede 1.1% more.
It moves slowly on purpose: a season only outweighs the prior around match 24 of 38, so two good results shift this a little and a good half-season shifts it a lot. How the models work →
There is no xG source for this league we would be willing to stand behind, so none is shown. A shot-quality measure is the likely route — but it will not be labelled xG, because it would be a different quantity wearing a trusted name. What this cannot do →